Since their independence, the African countries that were once French colonies began opening up to new relations with other states. In recent years, the relations with countries such as Germany, the UK and the USA intensified. In 2017, Berlin was the EU's leading exporter to Africa, with exports worth 8.3 billion euros, followed by France and Belgium, with exports of 5.6 million and under 4 million euros in values, according to
Eurostat. In the same year, under the German G20 Presidency, the "Compact with Africa" initiative was launched to promote private investment in the continent, including infrastructure projects.
On top of this, in late January 2019, Germany announced the intention of enhancing the partnership with six African countries after BMZ (Germany's Federal Ministry of Economic Cooperation and Development) and the World Bank Group had already signed the Joint Declaration of Intent at the Africa Investment Summit in Berlin in late 2018. The aim of these investments in Tunisia, Morocco, Ivory Coast, Ethiopia, Ghana and Senegal is to increase private capital flows in Africa and create job opportunities. It comes to no surprise that having more partners and allies, also means that African former colonies now have more states to turn to other than France for aid, investment and opportunities. This means that since their official independence, francophone African countries have developed partnerships that allowed them to increasingly gain actual economic independence from France.
The relationship between France and its former colonies resembles, to some extent, the relationship between Ukraine and Russia. Like francophone African countries during colonialism were controlled by the French empire, during the Soviet period, the territory of Ukraine was heavily influenced by what we now know as Russia. Of course, the historical and social contexts in which Ukraine obtained its independence were different, i.e. the collapse of the Soviet Union. However, similarly to the process leading to an increase in the economic independence of African former colonies, Ukraine started growing closer to European countries and the EU, distancing itself from Russia and its influence. By distancing itself from Russia and developing relationships with other countries, Ukraine ensured a more balanced and equal relationship with Russia.
An example of that is Russia's annexation of Crimea. According to Monika Eriksen, the decision to take this military action in 2014, was the result of a Russia's Realpolitik doctrine to coerce Crimea into stopping from turning more and more towards a partnership with Europe. However, even though the territory has not been re-claimed by Ukraine, the country received support by the international community, including Europe, the UN and the US, that imposed heavy sanctions on Russia. A more balanced relationship between Ukraine and Russia also equals to more power during negotiations on Ukraine's side, because the state has the option of turning to other allies for support and is no longer entirely dependent on Russia as it was during the Soviet period.
While the comparison between the annexation of Crimea and a seemingly mere debate concerning the return of the art stolen during colonization may seem far-fetched, the cases are similar. Both are in fact part of Realpolitik strategic attempts by Russia and France to maintain a sphere of influence in the states they once controlled and that are now threatened by the changing global context. The former adopted a more violent and direct strategy that involved the use of hard power. The latter is using a subtler strategy aimed at restoring its image in Africa, that, as earlier mentioned, represents part of an attempt to maintain influence over the African former colonies. Will Rea confirms this by claiming that
"Macron is using the art of former French colonies as a part of his strategy in developing French influence in Africa".
Another similarity between the case of Ukraine and francophone African countries is that like Ukraine, since their independence, African countries have developed several other partnerships with countries beyond France. Like in the case of Ukraine, this ensured a more balanced relationship between the colonies, which means that francophone African countries have more power during negotiations with France. As French Lawyer Corinne Hershovitch puts it,
"African countries are indeed gaining power on the international scene". It is partly thanks to this, together with the fact that France is planning to restore its image in Africa in order to maintain a sphere of influence in the continent, that several francophone African countries have recently demanded their stolen art to be returned and France has complied with the request.
They can especially count on Unesco to help them with that. According to Casper Andersen, professor at Aarhus University and expert in History of Ideas, decolonization in Africa and the role of UNESCO, if African countries unite with the UN institution specialized in cultural issues, they could have more leverage in the negotiations with former colonial states. On 1 June 2018, a conference was organised at the Unesco headquarter in Paris to demand the art to be restituted. Already in 1970, the UNESCO convention on "the Means of Prohibiting and Preventing the Illicit Import, Export and Transfer of Ownership of Cultural Property" was passed to ensure the return of the art stolen during colonization. But apparently, at that time, it was not sufficient enough for France to do so.
The factors that are playing in favour of the return of the art in Africa are both an increased negotiating power ensured by more equal relationships between African states and France, as well as a willingness on France's side to actually return the art as part of a broader strategy to restore its image in Africa to maintain influence in the region. So far, few francophone African countries have demanded the return of the looted art. Benin has requested the return of 5,000 to 6,000 pieces of art, Senegal demands the restitution of around 10,000 pieces whilst the Ivory Coast wants around 20,000 pieces back.